The conflict in Ukraine suggests that the Kremlin wants to exert its power in other regions where its main enemy, the United States, is involved. Syria offers a great opportunity for this.
The Pentagon’s Inspection Bureau recently violated Russian troops against a bilateral dispute resolution protocol established on the Syrian stage to prevent unexpected clashes between Russian and US troops deployed in war-torn countries. Published a report revealing the increase in the number of people.
At the very least, the surveillance structure records that the last three months of 2021 were “rich” in such incidents when compared to the previous quarter.
The Integrated Joint Task Force-Operation Inherent Resolve-is largely “ground-based” for Russia’s violations in Syria, significantly reducing the number of similar “exploits” by Russian military personnel in the airspace. I found that. Moscow temporarily moved its advanced Su-35 fighter to the region of Qamishli, which became their “major logistic hub” in the northeastern part of the country.
Not only has the Pentagon warned of a systematic compromise of Russia’s conflict resolution protocol, but authorities have discovered that its military personnel are trying to create an atmosphere of pressure on U.S.-led coalition forces. ..
“The Russian Army has made great efforts to share strategic messages, carry out information operations aimed at damaging the credibility of the coalition, and create and confirm its image as a credible partner in the region. “The report said.
In this respect, Russia’s mission is not much different from the pro-Iranian regulars who support the Syrian government. In the last three months of 2021, Tehran’s troops became a greater threat to the U.S. military, according to an investigation by the Inspector General’s Office. As an example, supervisors quoted an October drone attack on a U.S. military position near Altanf. Iran and its satellites were responsible.
Take it out in syria
Given the adventurous perceptions of Russian leaders on the independence of ORDLO, Donetsk and Luhansk, called “temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories,” and the deployment of Russian delegations to eastern Ukraine, Moscow and Washington In other areas where interests conflict, stakes may be raised.
There is no doubt that these decisions will probably be accompanied by the same focused style of “term talk”. Syrian documents under these circumstances provide ample room to test the wide range of “persuasive means” unique to the Kremlin.
At a Senate confirmation hearing on the post of Vice Admiral Michael Kurilla, Vice Admiral Michael Kurilla said: “If Russia invades Ukraine, it may not hesitate to act as a’spoiler’in Syria. The military commander summarized: The United States is currently facing “a new era of strategic competition between China and Russia, not limited to one geographic region.” Therefore, Washington recognizes that conflicts can occur across regions.
During the last few years of President Donald Trump, Russian and US troops clashed regularly on highways in northeastern Syria. Russian military personnel not only tried to drive US colleagues out of certain densely populated areas, but also to maximize advertising effectiveness. Media loyal to the Kremlin spread a video that Russian military personnel came out to lecture on cutting and respecting American armored car roads. Syrian sovereignty. “
Another country that is currently concerned about the integrity of the conflict resolution protocol with Russia is Israel, which calls itself part of the Western world, so it is against the White House sanctions decision. It is not possible to set an open boundary.
Informally, local defense agencies say the Joe Biden administration has to give another explanation as to why Israelis are unable to participate in pressure measures, rather than refusing to coordinate with Russian troops in Syria. ..
Conflict main theater
Talk to TRT RussianMichael Kimmage, a professor and chairman of the Department of History at the Catholic University of America and a former director of the Russian and Ukrainian files of the Department of State’s Political Planning Bureau, doubts the fact that Syria will be the main theater of conflict. Was expressed. Between the US and Russia in the coming months.
The West will impose sanctions on ORDLO’s approval, but analysts said those restrictions would be more stringent if a broader war between Ukraine and Russia broke out.
“Russia will find a way back to the west for these sanctions,” Kimmage said.
“The expansion of the crisis could include elements of cyberwarfare between Russia and the West. The main theater of this friction will be Europe because it is closest to Ukraine. This is an unpredictable conflict. It is an area where spills occur. Of course, it has a ripple effect in other places as well. “
Kimmage added that everywhere the interests of the United States and Russia clash is immediately dangerous.
That said, the Syrian conflict resolution mechanism, established in 2015, has worked well for the past seven years, according to former diplomats.
“The United States will not expand its small presence in Syria, and Russian troops will be linked to the situation in Ukraine and its surroundings for the foreseeable future. In that sense, the area of concern is not the Middle East. It is Europe,” Kimage said. ..
Source: TRT World